paint·day

Is it good to paint in Davenport, IA this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Davenport, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
WedRISK
71°/64°
Dew margin
1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
76%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 64°F dew point (low 64°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
69°/65°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
53%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 63°F dew point (low 51°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
64°/51°
Dew margin
0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.1°F of the 43°F dew point (low 43°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
68°/50°
Dew margin
-3.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -3.9°F of the 50°F dew point (low 46°F, 16% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
65°/59°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 46°F dew point (low 40°F, 5% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
60°/47°
Dew margin
-4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -4°F of the 38°F dew point (low 33°F, 18% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
62°/45°
Dew margin
13.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 45°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold offWed — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 64°F dew point (low 64°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (76% chance, ~10.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • High humidity (93%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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