paint·day

Is it good to paint in Davenport, IA this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Davenport, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
TueRISK
86°/74°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
51%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 72°F dew point (low 73°F, 99% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
81°/75°
Dew margin
1.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
36%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.4°F of the 67°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
82°/70°
Dew margin
1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
70%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 69°F dew point (low 70°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
78°/70°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
57%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 69°F dew point (low 71°F, 26% cloud, 10 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
92°/74°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
48%
Window

Too hot — high of 92°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SunRISK
85°/76°
Dew margin
1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
22%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 61°F dew point (low 62°F, 9% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
82°/67°
Dew margin
3.6°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
5%
Window
8am–6pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.6°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 72°F dew point (low 73°F, 99% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (51% chance, ~12.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • Hot afternoon (86°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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