paint·day

Is it good to paint in Duluth, MN this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Duluth, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayGood to goBest upcoming window: Wed (Good to go)
WedGO
82°/66°
Dew margin
9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
10%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 66–82°F, RH under 82%, surface stays 9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

ThuGO
80°/67°
Dew margin
5.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
26%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 67–80°F, RH under 76%, surface stays 5.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

FriRISK
80°/65°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
7%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 61°F dew point (low 60°F, 100% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
76°/63°
Dew margin
2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
28%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2°F of the 63°F dew point (low 64°F, 25% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunGO
82°/66°
Dew margin
12.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 66–82°F, RH under 75%, surface stays 12.6°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

MonRISK
89°/64°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
25%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 64°F dew point (low 64°F, 100% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
82°/68°
Dew margin
10.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
31%
Window
9am–5pm

High humidity (89%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Good to goWed — today & tonight
  • Clear to paint: temps 66–82°F, RH under 82%, surface stays 9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Good to go. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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