paint·day

Is it good to paint in Kansas City, MO this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Kansas City, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
ThuRISK
73°/69°
Dew margin
-2.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
83%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.5°F of the 69°F dew point (low 53°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
62°/53°
Dew margin
3.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.2°F of the 49°F dew point (low 50°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
71°/53°
Dew margin
-7.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -7.3°F of the 60°F dew point (low 53°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
75°/62°
Dew margin
-1.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.6°F of the 56°F dew point (low 45°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
70°/53°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.8°F of the 41°F dew point (low 44°F, 1% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
75°/55°
Dew margin
3.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window
8am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

WedCAUTION
81°/63°
Dew margin
3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window
8am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.5°F of the 69°F dew point (low 53°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (83% chance, ~74.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Kansas City

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Missouri