paint·day

Is it good to paint in Manchester, NH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Manchester, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Fri (Caution)
SatRISK
61°/57°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
76%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 55°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 18 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
60°/57°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
91%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 54°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 10 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
54°/52°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
89%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 52°F dew point (low 52°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
59°/54°
Dew margin
0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
28%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.1°F of the 55°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
70°/57°
Dew margin
-7.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
5%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -7.8°F of the 57°F dew point (low 49°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
76°/61°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
8%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 58°F dew point (low 59°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriCAUTION
75°/64°
Dew margin
4.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
8%
Window
10am–3pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offSat — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 55°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 18 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (76% chance, ~15.9mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • High humidity (87%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Manchester

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in New Hampshire