paint·day

Is it good to paint in Jersey City, NJ this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Jersey City, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
87°/75°
Dew margin
5.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
9am–5pm

Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

FriRISK
88°/71°
Dew margin
3.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
7%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.7°F of the 63°F dew point (low 66°F, 0% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatGO
84°/69°
Dew margin
8.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 69–84°F, RH under 80%, surface stays 8.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
75°/71°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
67%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 74°F dew point (low 72°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
89°/74°
Dew margin
14.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
25%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (89°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

TueGO
83°/70°
Dew margin
10.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 70–83°F, RH under 57%, surface stays 10.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedGO
82°/73°
Dew margin
8.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
9%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 73–82°F, RH under 67%, surface stays 8.6°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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