Is it good to paint in Buffalo, NY this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Buffalo, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 7.8°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 1%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
- Dew margin
- 2.3°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 36%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
- Dew margin
- 1.8°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 36%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 69°F dew point (low 71°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 3.1°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 5%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.1°F of the 69°F dew point (low 72°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 1.2°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 16%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 71°F dew point (low 72°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 0.9°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 34%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 72°F dew point (low 71°F, 97% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 1.2°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 39%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 70°F dew point (low 71°F, 21% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.