paint·day

Is it good to paint in Eugene, OR this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Eugene, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
TueRISK
85°/61°
Dew margin
-1.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.7°F of the 56°F dew point (low 54°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
83°/63°
Dew margin
-1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.8°F of the 52°F dew point (low 50°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
85°/61°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 52°F dew point (low 52°F, 0% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
88°/58°
Dew margin
-0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.4°F of the 56°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
86°/58°
Dew margin
2.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
3%
Window

Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

SunRISK
89°/60°
Dew margin
1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 54°F dew point (low 55°F, 76% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
88°/63°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
11%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 54°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.7°F of the 56°F dew point (low 54°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Hot afternoon (85°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Eugene

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Oregon