paint·day

Is it good to paint in Casper, WY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Casper, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Fri (Good to go)
WedRISK
76°/45°
Dew margin
3.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.3°F of the 42°F dew point (low 44°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
75°/45°
Dew margin
2.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.9°F of the 41°F dew point (low 43°F, 5% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriGO
80°/57°
Dew margin
14.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 57–80°F, RH under 46%, surface stays 14.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SatRISK
69°/58°
Dew margin
-4.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -4.9°F of the 43°F dew point (low 37°F, 0% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
76°/54°
Dew margin
3.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.7°F of the 38°F dew point (low 42°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonGO
80°/63°
Dew margin
11.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 63–80°F, RH under 38%, surface stays 11.7°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueGO
73°/62°
Dew margin
17.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 62–73°F, RH under 51%, surface stays 17.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offWed — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.3°F of the 42°F dew point (low 44°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Cold mornings (down to 45°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Wyoming