paint·day

Is it good to stain in Anchorage, AK this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Anchorage, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
ThuRISK
41°/35°
Dew margin
-2.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
47%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.7°F of the 33°F dew point (low 27°F, 48% cloud, 0 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
44°/31°
Dew margin
-5.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -5.6°F of the 31°F dew point (low 25°F, 92% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
43°/31°
Dew margin
3.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
35%
Window
—

Too cold to stain — daytime high only 43°F, below the 50°F minimum (even a low-temp line needs 45°F+).

SunRISK
48°/38°
Dew margin
-0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
75%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.6°F of the 39°F dew point (low 38°F, 93% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
47°/40°
Dew margin
-3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
52%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -3°F of the 37°F dew point (low 34°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
46°/37°
Dew margin
-0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
40%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.8°F of the 38°F dew point (low 38°F, 90% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
47°/39°
Dew margin
-1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
45%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.9°F of the 38°F dew point (low 36°F, 85% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.7°F of the 33°F dew point (low 27°F, 48% cloud, 0 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Too cold to stain — daytime high only 41°F, below the 50°F minimum (even a low-temp line needs 45°F+).
  • Some rain risk (47%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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