paint·day

Is it good to stain in Anchorage, AK this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Anchorage, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
TueCAUTION
70°/58°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
9am–6pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

WedRISK
67°/61°
Dew margin
0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
18%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.1°F of the 56°F dew point (low 55°F, 99% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
74°/60°
Dew margin
-2.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
16%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.3°F of the 55°F dew point (low 53°F, 93% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
74°/61°
Dew margin
-0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.3°F of the 58°F dew point (low 57°F, 50% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
70°/59°
Dew margin
-1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.9°F of the 55°F dew point (low 53°F, 86% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
73°/58°
Dew margin
-1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
29%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.2°F of the 58°F dew point (low 57°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
68°/57°
Dew margin
3.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
31%
Window

Humidity peaks at 100% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

CautionTue — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (93%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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