paint·day

Is it good to stain in Topeka, KS this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Topeka, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
ThuRISK
75°/65°
Dew margin
1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
97%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1°F of the 62°F dew point (low 52°F, 100% cloud, 14 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
65°/52°
Dew margin
1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1°F of the 47°F dew point (low 47°F, 2% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
69°/48°
Dew margin
-6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -6°F of the 58°F dew point (low 52°F, 5% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
74°/60°
Dew margin
-5.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -5.6°F of the 50°F dew point (low 45°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
71°/53°
Dew margin
0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.4°F of the 46°F dew point (low 47°F, 5% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
78°/55°
Dew margin
3.6°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.6°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

WedRISK
84°/64°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.1°F of the 60°F dew point (low 62°F, 3% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1°F of the 62°F dew point (low 52°F, 100% cloud, 14 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 99% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (97% chance, ~34.3mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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