paint·day

Is it good to stain in Bowling Green, KY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Bowling Green, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
TueRISK
84°/54°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
—

Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

WedCAUTION
91°/62°
Dew margin
14.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (91°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

ThuCAUTION
94°/71°
Dew margin
6.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (94°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

FriRISK
85°/74°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
59%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 66°F dew point (low 66°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
70°/66°
Dew margin
-1.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
46%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.6°F of the 63°F dew point (low 61°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
80°/67°
Dew margin
-1.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
35%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.6°F of the 52°F dew point (low 50°F, 11% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonGO
75°/56°
Dew margin
24.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 56–75°F, RH under 84%, surface stays 24.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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