paint·day

Is it good to stain in Lowell, MA this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Lowell, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Thu (Good to go)
TueRISK
88°/74°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 59°F dew point (low 61°F, 2% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
86°/70°
Dew margin
3.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
13%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.7°F of the 62°F dew point (low 64°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuGO
88°/71°
Dew margin
5.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
28%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 71–88°F, RH under 75%, surface stays 5.9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

FriRISK
80°/62°
Dew margin
4.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
26%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.2°F of the 58°F dew point (low 56°F, 6% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatGO
78°/63°
Dew margin
7.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 63–78°F, RH under 59%, surface stays 7.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
79°/64°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
53%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 66°F dew point (low 61°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
78°/67°
Dew margin
6.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
53%
Window

Humidity peaks at 99% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 59°F dew point (low 61°F, 2% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Massachusetts