Is it good to stain in Minneapolis, MN this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Minneapolis, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 8.3°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 9%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Clear to stain: temps 71–89°F, RH under 74%, surface stays 8.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.
- Dew margin
- 3.3°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 13%
- Window
- 8am–1pm
Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
- Dew margin
- -1°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 17%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1°F of the 71°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 5.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 17%
- Window
- 1pm–2pm
High humidity (89%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.
- Dew margin
- 19.8°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 4%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Clear to stain: temps 68–88°F, RH under 66%, surface stays 19.8°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.
- Dew margin
- 2.4°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 19%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (19% chance, ~5.4mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
- Dew margin
- 0.9°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 34%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 67°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Clear to stain: temps 71–89°F, RH under 74%, surface stays 8.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.
Good to go. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.