paint·day

Is it good to stain in Bismarck, ND this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Bismarck, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Tue (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
64°/40°
Dew margin
5.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
11am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 40°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

FriCAUTION
61°/39°
Dew margin
5.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
12pm–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 39°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

SatRISK
70°/44°
Dew margin
-4.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
6%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -4.2°F of the 37°F dew point (low 33°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunCAUTION
67°/48°
Dew margin
7.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 48°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

MonRISK
75°/51°
Dew margin
-11.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -11.4°F of the 53°F dew point (low 42°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueGO
83°/57°
Dew margin
7.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
10am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 57–83°F, RH under 82%, surface stays 7.6°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedGO
73°/55°
Dew margin
14.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 55–73°F, RH under 38%, surface stays 14.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Cold mornings (down to 40°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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