paint·day

Is it good to stain in Santa Fe, NM this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Santa Fe, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Tue (Good to go)
MonRISK
92°/74°
Dew margin
18.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
12%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (12% chance, ~4.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

TueGO
89°/73°
Dew margin
9.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
27%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 73–89°F, RH under 36%, surface stays 9.3°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedGO
88°/69°
Dew margin
6.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
28%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 69–88°F, RH under 51%, surface stays 6.2°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

ThuCAUTION
85°/67°
Dew margin
4.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
34%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.2°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriRISK
80°/67°
Dew margin
2.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
43%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (43% chance, ~5.5mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SatRISK
79°/64°
Dew margin
6.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
39%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (39% chance, ~4.8mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SunCAUTION
83°/66°
Dew margin
11.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
35%
Window
8am–5pm

Some rain risk (35%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

Hold offMon — today & tonight
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (12% chance, ~4.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • Hot afternoon (92°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Santa Fe

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in New Mexico