paint·day

Is it good to stain in Burlington, VT this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Burlington, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sun (Caution)
FriRISK
67°/65°
Dew margin
-0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
67%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.6°F of the 48°F dew point (low 47°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
59°/52°
Dew margin
0.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.7°F of the 39°F dew point (low 40°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunCAUTION
66°/46°
Dew margin
2.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
23%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.5°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonRISK
57°/50°
Dew margin
12.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
23%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (23% chance, ~1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

TueCAUTION
51°/41°
Dew margin
7.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
1pm–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 41°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

WedCAUTION
59°/35°
Dew margin
9.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
4%
Window
11am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 35°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

ThuCAUTION
61°/48°
Dew margin
3.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
17%
Window
10am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.6°F of the 48°F dew point (low 47°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (67% chance, ~5.4mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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