paint·day

Is it good to paint in Juneau, AK this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Juneau, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
SunRISK
58°/52°
Dew margin
-0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
92%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.4°F of the 49°F dew point (low 49°F, 59% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
60°/54°
Dew margin
3.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
41%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.2°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

TueRISK
58°/52°
Dew margin
1.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
65%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.6°F of the 47°F dew point (low 48°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
56°/51°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
77%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 47°F dew point (low 48°F, 97% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
54°/51°
Dew margin
-1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
72%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.1°F of the 46°F dew point (low 44°F, 95% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
52°/50°
Dew margin
-0.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
90%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.2°F of the 50°F dew point (low 49°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
59°/51°
Dew margin
-0.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
79%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.7°F of the 48°F dew point (low 47°F, 97% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offSun — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.4°F of the 49°F dew point (low 49°F, 59% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (92% chance, ~3.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.

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Other coatings in Juneau

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Alaska