paint·day

Is it good to paint in Juneau, AK this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Juneau, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
MonRISK
48°/45°
Dew margin
-0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
100%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.1°F of the 45°F dew point (low 45°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
49°/46°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
100%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 46°F dew point (low 45°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
49°/46°
Dew margin
-0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
100%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.5°F of the 44°F dew point (low 44°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
47°/44°
Dew margin
-0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
92%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.1°F of the 46°F dew point (low 43°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
51°/46°
Dew margin
-0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
76%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.4°F of the 45°F dew point (low 44°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
49°/48°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
87%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 44°F dew point (low 43°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
51°/46°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
73%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 52°F dew point (low 52°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offMon — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.1°F of the 45°F dew point (low 45°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Too cold to paint — daytime high only 48°F, below the 50°F minimum (even a low-temp line needs 35°F+).
  • Humidity peaks at 99% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (100% chance, ~28mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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