Is it good to paint in Tampa, FL this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Tampa, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 1.9°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 6%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 77°F dew point (low 78°F, 64% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 1.8°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 32%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 1% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 5.4°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 27%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 99°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- 4.7°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 11%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.7°F of the 74°F dew point (low 79°F, 7% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 2.6°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 6%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 96°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- 6.6°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 13%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 95°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- 9.5°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 20%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 95°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 77°F dew point (low 78°F, 64% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Too hot — high of 94°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.