Is it good to stain in Tampa, FL this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Tampa, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 1.2°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 34%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 5% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 2.8°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 20%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (20% chance, ~2.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
- Dew margin
- 3.9°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 67%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 95°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- 2.7°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 61%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (61% chance, ~19mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
- Dew margin
- 2.6°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 55%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (55% chance, ~7.8mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
- Dew margin
- 3.6°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 63%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.6°F of the 72°F dew point (low 76°F, 34% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 7.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 64%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (64% chance, ~3mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
- High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 5% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Too hot — high of 96°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Some rain risk (34%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.
Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
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Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.