paint·day

Is it good to paint in Hilo, HI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Hilo, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
ThuRISK
80°/75°
Dew margin
2.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
17%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.5°F of the 64°F dew point (low 67°F, 21% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
79°/75°
Dew margin
1.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
40%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.3°F of the 67°F dew point (low 69°F, 13% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
79°/75°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
90%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 70°F dew point (low 70°F, 89% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
79°/73°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
78%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 66°F dew point (low 67°F, 80% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
79°/74°
Dew margin
2.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
66%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.9°F of the 67°F dew point (low 66°F, 19% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
80°/75°
Dew margin
4.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
39%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.9°F of the 60°F dew point (low 65°F, 26% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
79°/76°
Dew margin
2.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
41%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.7°F of the 66°F dew point (low 68°F, 18% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.5°F of the 64°F dew point (low 67°F, 21% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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