paint·day

Is it good to paint in Honolulu, HI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Honolulu, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
ThuRISK
86°/81°
Dew margin
4.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
41%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (41% chance, ~1.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

FriRISK
85°/79°
Dew margin
2.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
14%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (14% chance, ~1.8mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

SatRISK
85°/79°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
71%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 75°F dew point (low 74°F, 100% cloud, 20 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
82°/76°
Dew margin
0.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
72%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.2°F of the 73°F dew point (low 74°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
83°/78°
Dew margin
2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
39%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2°F of the 74°F dew point (low 74°F, 94% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
84°/77°
Dew margin
1.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
18%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.6°F of the 69°F dew point (low 71°F, 75% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
83°/78°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
14%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 71°F dew point (low 72°F, 26% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (41% chance, ~1.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.5°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • Hot afternoon (86°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Honolulu

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Hawaii