paint·day

Is it good to paint in Aurora, IL this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Aurora, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
ThuRISK
77°/71°
Dew margin
1.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
59%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.4°F of the 67°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
79°/71°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
70%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 72°F dew point (low 72°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
82°/73°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
68%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 77°F dew point (low 71°F, 13% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
80°/73°
Dew margin
-0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
37%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.6°F of the 69°F dew point (low 64°F, 32% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
76°/67°
Dew margin
5.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
9am–5pm

High humidity (90%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

TueRISK
76°/61°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
27%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 64°F dew point (low 64°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
82°/69°
Dew margin
2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
33%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2°F of the 62°F dew point (low 63°F, 88% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.4°F of the 67°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 100% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (59% chance, ~1.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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