paint·day

Is it good to paint in Naperville, IL this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Naperville, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Wed (Caution)
ThuRISK
77°/72°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
60%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 70°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
80°/70°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
71%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 72°F dew point (low 72°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
84°/73°
Dew margin
0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
68%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.4°F of the 76°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
82°/73°
Dew margin
3.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
41%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.7°F of the 64°F dew point (low 64°F, 0% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
80°/69°
Dew margin
4.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
7%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.9°F of the 56°F dew point (low 60°F, 5% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
79°/64°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
26%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 65°F dew point (low 67°F, 66% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedCAUTION
77°/69°
Dew margin
3.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
33%
Window
9am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 70°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (60% chance, ~3.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • High humidity (94%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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