paint·day

Is it good to paint in Lexington, KY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Lexington, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
TueCAUTION
80°/50°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

WedCAUTION
85°/54°
Dew margin
13.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
9am–5pm

Hot afternoon (85°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

ThuCAUTION
89°/60°
Dew margin
7.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
8%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (89°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

FriRISK
72°/68°
Dew margin
0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
73%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 61°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 16 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatCAUTION
74°/55°
Dew margin
12.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
36%
Window
8am–5pm

Some rain risk (36%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

SunCAUTION
74°/53°
Dew margin
4.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
27%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonCAUTION
68°/48°
Dew margin
14.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 48°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

CautionTue — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • Cold mornings (down to 50°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.
  • High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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