Is it good to paint in Louisville, KY this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Louisville, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 6.7°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 0%
- Window
- 10am–5pm
Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
- Dew margin
- 3.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 18%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 90°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- -1°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 86%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1°F of the 63°F dew point (low 57°F, 100% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 12.5°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 6%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Clear to paint: temps 57–75°F, RH under 75%, surface stays 12.5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.
- Dew margin
- 1.5°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 6%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 50°F dew point (low 51°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 7.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 0%
- Window
- 9am–5pm
Clear to paint: temps 53–72°F, RH under 84%, surface stays 7.1°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.
- Dew margin
- 18°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 0%
- Window
- 9am–5pm
Cold mornings (down to 48°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.
- Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.