paint·day

Is it good to paint in Flint, MI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Flint, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
SatRISK
71°/39°
Dew margin
-0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.9°F of the 43°F dew point (low 42°F, 6% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
73°/43°
Dew margin
-2.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.4°F of the 49°F dew point (low 46°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
74°/51°
Dew margin
0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 45°F dew point (low 46°F, 0% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
77°/51°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
25%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 56°F dew point (low 55°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
60°/57°
Dew margin
0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
26%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 60°F dew point (low 59°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
65°/62°
Dew margin
-14.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
44%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -14.7°F of the 64°F dew point (low 49°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
64°/62°
Dew margin
-4.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
29%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -4.3°F of the 57°F dew point (low 51°F, 100% cloud, 10 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offSat — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.9°F of the 43°F dew point (low 42°F, 6% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 99% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Cold mornings (down to 39°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Flint

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Michigan