paint·day

Is it good to paint in Lansing, MI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Lansing, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Sun (Caution)
SunCAUTION
87°/64°
Dew margin
3.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
10%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonRISK
94°/72°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
16%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 72°F dew point (low 73°F, 3% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
92°/78°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window

Too hot — high of 92°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

WedRISK
93°/78°
Dew margin
2.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
3%
Window

Too hot — high of 93°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

ThuRISK
93°/78°
Dew margin
0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
20%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 74°F dew point (low 74°F, 68% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
92°/77°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
31%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 71°F dew point (low 72°F, 6% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
94°/74°
Dew margin
2.9°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
27%
Window

Too hot — high of 94°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

CautionSun — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • Hot afternoon (87°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
  • High humidity (86%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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