Is it good to paint in Missoula, MT this week?
A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Missoula, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.
- Dew margin
- 24.2°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 0%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Hot afternoon (88°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
- Dew margin
- 10.2°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 22%
- Window
- —
Rain likely in the 24h cure window (22% chance, ~2.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
- Dew margin
- 1.1°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 59%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 57°F dew point (low 57°F, 100% cloud, 1 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 2°F
- Overnight dew
- High
- Rain
- 53%
- Window
- —
High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2°F of the 55°F dew point (low 57°F, 100% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
- Dew margin
- 4.1°F
- Overnight dew
- Watch
- Rain
- 22%
- Window
- 8am–5pm
Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
- Dew margin
- 9.4°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 11%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 91°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Dew margin
- 31.4°F
- Overnight dew
- Low
- Rain
- 17%
- Window
- —
Too hot — high of 95°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
- Hot afternoon (88°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.
Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.
Why these thresholds
Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.
- • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
- • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
- • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
- • No rain for 24h after application.
- • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.
Free in the beta
Watch this job site 24/7
Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.