paint·day

Is it good to paint in Providence, RI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Providence, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Thu (Caution)
ThuCAUTION
80°/68°
Dew margin
4.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
35%
Window
11am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriRISK
83°/68°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
7%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.8°F of the 62°F dew point (low 58°F, 7% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
81°/65°
Dew margin
3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3°F of the 57°F dew point (low 60°F, 12% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
75°/70°
Dew margin
-2.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
57%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.8°F of the 68°F dew point (low 65°F, 95% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
83°/67°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
57%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 66°F dew point (low 65°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
77°/68°
Dew margin
-5.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -5.2°F of the 67°F dew point (low 61°F, 67% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedCAUTION
88°/71°
Dew margin
4.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
6%
Window
9am–7pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.
  • Some rain risk (35%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Providence

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Rhode Island