paint·day

Is it good to paint in Providence, RI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Providence, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
FriRISK
79°/65°
Dew margin
-3.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
49%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -3.3°F of the 59°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
66°/60°
Dew margin
-2.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.3°F of the 48°F dew point (low 45°F, 0% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
67°/54°
Dew margin
1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
18%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 53°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonGO
73°/60°
Dew margin
15.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
8%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 60–73°F, RH under 84%, surface stays 15.8°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueCAUTION
60°/43°
Dew margin
6.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 43°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

WedCAUTION
64°/43°
Dew margin
5.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 43°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

ThuRISK
68°/50°
Dew margin
4.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.4°F of the 49°F dew point (low 54°F, 38% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -3.3°F of the 59°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (49% chance, ~11.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • High humidity (90%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

Free in the beta

Watch this job site 24/7

Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.

Set up a free alert→

Other coatings in Providence

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Rhode Island