paint·day

Is it good to paint in Warwick, RI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Warwick, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
SunRISK
79°/68°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
23%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 65°F dew point (low 62°F, 100% cloud, 12 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
82°/69°
Dew margin
0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 63°F dew point (low 62°F, 48% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
88°/73°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
41%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 67°F dew point (low 66°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
92°/73°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
26%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 68°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
101°/75°
Dew margin
5.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
7%
Window

Too hot — high of 101°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

FriRISK
105°/86°
Dew margin
7.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
25%
Window

Too hot — high of 105°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SatRISK
104°/85°
Dew margin
2.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
40%
Window

Too hot — high of 104°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

Hold offSun — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 65°F dew point (low 62°F, 100% cloud, 12 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (23% chance, ~7.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Warwick

Exterior Paint weather elsewhere in Rhode Island