paint·day

Is it good to stain in Springfield, IL this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Springfield, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
SunRISK
92°/75°
Dew margin
2.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
11%
Window

Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

MonCAUTION
95°/82°
Dew margin
3.6°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.6°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

TueCAUTION
91°/79°
Dew margin
5.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (91°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

WedRISK
91°/79°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.8°F of the 73°F dew point (low 75°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
92°/80°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
19%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 68°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 23 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriCAUTION
91°/78°
Dew margin
4.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
19%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

SatCAUTION
90°/77°
Dew margin
3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
12%
Window
8am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold offSun — today & tonight
  • Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (11% chance, ~2.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.3°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • Hot afternoon (92°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Get an email the moment overnight dew, rain, or an out-of-range stretch threatens a fresh coat — and a morning digest with the best window ahead. No app to check; we watch the forecast for you.

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