paint·day

Is it good to stain in Baltimore, MD this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Baltimore, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
WedRISK
89°/74°
Dew margin
3.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
25%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.1°F of the 70°F dew point (low 73°F, 31% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuCAUTION
91°/75°
Dew margin
4.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
7%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriCAUTION
90°/73°
Dew margin
14.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
33%
Window
8am–5pm

Some rain risk (33%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

SatGO
86°/71°
Dew margin
6.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
10%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 71–86°F, RH under 53%, surface stays 6.5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
90°/72°
Dew margin
2.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
55%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (55% chance, ~6.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

MonCAUTION
89°/77°
Dew margin
16.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
20%
Window
9am–5pm

High humidity (88%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

TueGO
88°/72°
Dew margin
15.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
6%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 72–88°F, RH under 49%, surface stays 15.6°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offWed — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.1°F of the 70°F dew point (low 73°F, 31% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (25% chance, ~1.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Baltimore

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Maryland