paint·day

Is it good to stain in Warren, MI this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Warren, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Thu (Good to go)
FriRISK
63°/54°
Dew margin
2.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
16%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.2°F of the 44°F dew point (low 46°F, 1% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
60°/46°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.1°F of the 49°F dew point (low 50°F, 34% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
73°/54°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 52°F dew point (low 47°F, 26% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
62°/50°
Dew margin
4.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.3°F of the 37°F dew point (low 41°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
61°/48°
Dew margin
6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 48°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

WedRISK
69°/50°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 48°F dew point (low 49°F, 66% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuGO
75°/58°
Dew margin
15.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
7%
Window
10am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 58–75°F, RH under 71%, surface stays 15.9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.2°F of the 44°F dew point (low 46°F, 1% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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