paint·day

Is it good to stain in Knoxville, TN this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Knoxville, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
FriRISK
88°/62°
Dew margin
0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
30%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 68°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
72°/69°
Dew margin
0.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
62%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.2°F of the 68°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
70°/68°
Dew margin
-5.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
79%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -5.3°F of the 66°F dew point (low 61°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
75°/66°
Dew margin
-1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
4%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.1°F of the 51°F dew point (low 50°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
69°/55°
Dew margin
-3.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -3.7°F of the 58°F dew point (low 53°F, 88% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
79°/57°
Dew margin
-2.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2.2°F of the 53°F dew point (low 51°F, 0% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
81°/56°
Dew margin
0.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.4°F of the 56°F dew point (low 56°F, 5% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 68°F dew point (low 68°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (30% chance, ~1.8mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Tennessee