paint·day

Is it good to paint in Evansville, IN this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Evansville, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
TueRISK
96°/82°
Dew margin
1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
12%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1°F of the 77°F dew point (low 70°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
96°/70°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
30%
Window

Too hot — high of 96°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

ThuRISK
88°/77°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
30%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.8°F of the 71°F dew point (low 75°F, 19% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
91°/80°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
4%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 71°F dew point (low 73°F, 61% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
95°/78°
Dew margin
5.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window

Too hot — high of 95°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SunRISK
101°/80°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
5%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 74°F dew point (low 74°F, 27% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
86°/76°
Dew margin
5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
9%
Window
9am–5pm

Hot afternoon (86°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1°F of the 77°F dew point (low 70°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Too hot — high of 96°F is well over the 85°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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