paint·day

Is it good to stain in New Orleans, LA this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in New Orleans, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Wed (Good to go)
ThuRISK
88°/78°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
15%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.8°F of the 75°F dew point (low 75°F, 8% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
87°/78°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
32%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 74°F dew point (low 75°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
83°/77°
Dew margin
1.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
89%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.3°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
82°/77°
Dew margin
1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
92%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 74°F dew point (low 76°F, 97% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
84°/76°
Dew margin
4.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
46%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (46% chance, ~2.3mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

TueRISK
83°/74°
Dew margin
4.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
46%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (46% chance, ~1.5mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

WedGO
78°/72°
Dew margin
6.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
21%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 72–78°F, RH under 84%, surface stays 6.9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.8°F of the 75°F dew point (low 75°F, 8% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • High humidity (90%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in New Orleans

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Louisiana