paint·day

Is it good to stain in Baton Rouge, LA this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Baton Rouge, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Caution)
SunRISK
97°/78°
Dew margin
1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
12%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 3% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
95°/81°
Dew margin
2.4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
4%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.4°F of the 72°F dew point (low 75°F, 1% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
98°/81°
Dew margin
2.9°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
9%
Window

Too hot — high of 98°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

WedRISK
95°/79°
Dew margin
1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
60%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 75°F dew point (low 73°F, 100% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
95°/77°
Dew margin
4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
45%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4°F of the 72°F dew point (low 76°F, 37% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
94°/79°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
36%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.1°F of the 71°F dew point (low 73°F, 18% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatCAUTION
92°/77°
Dew margin
6.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
47%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (92°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

Hold offSun — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 75°F dew point (low 76°F, 3% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Too hot — high of 97°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (12% chance, ~21.9mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • High humidity (86%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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