paint·day

Is it good to stain in Durham, NC this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Durham, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
SunRISK
93°/74°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
46%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 72°F dew point (low 72°F, 28% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
88°/74°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
3%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 66°F dew point (low 68°F, 44% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
95°/74°
Dew margin
4.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
1%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.8°F of the 67°F dew point (low 72°F, 6% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
100°/77°
Dew margin
4.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
5%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.8°F of the 70°F dew point (low 73°F, 11% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
102°/78°
Dew margin
9.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window

Too hot — high of 102°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

FriRISK
103°/80°
Dew margin
8.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
7%
Window

Too hot — high of 103°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SatRISK
107°/82°
Dew margin
14.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
25%
Window

Too hot — high of 107°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

Hold offSun — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 72°F dew point (low 72°F, 28% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Hot afternoon (93°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.
  • Some rain risk (46%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Durham

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in North Carolina