paint·day

Is it good to stain in Toledo, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Toledo, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Tue (Caution)
FriRISK
64°/58°
Dew margin
3.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
69%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.3°F of the 44°F dew point (low 47°F, 6% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
61°/47°
Dew margin
-0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.9°F of the 48°F dew point (low 46°F, 56% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
73°/52°
Dew margin
-1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.9°F of the 52°F dew point (low 45°F, 77% cloud, 9 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
63°/50°
Dew margin
0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.8°F of the 40°F dew point (low 37°F, 7% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueCAUTION
62°/46°
Dew margin
8.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 46°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

WedCAUTION
71°/46°
Dew margin
4.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
2%
Window
10am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

ThuRISK
76°/56°
Dew margin
-1.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
6%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1.3°F of the 60°F dew point (low 56°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 3.3°F of the 44°F dew point (low 47°F, 6% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (69% chance) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • High humidity (93%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Ohio