paint·day

Is it good to stain in Dayton, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Dayton, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Caution)
ThuRISK
87°/63°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
61%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (61% chance) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

FriRISK
70°/63°
Dew margin
1.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
72%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.9°F of the 46°F dew point (low 48°F, 1% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatCAUTION
64°/48°
Dew margin
4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

SunRISK
73°/54°
Dew margin
-5.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -5.8°F of the 50°F dew point (low 45°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
66°/52°
Dew margin
0.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.1°F of the 35°F dew point (low 35°F, 0% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

TueRISK
63°/45°
Dew margin
4.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4.1°F of the 31°F dew point (low 35°F, 4% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedCAUTION
70°/46°
Dew margin
18.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 46°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (61% chance) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.8°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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