paint·day

Is it good to paint in Toledo, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Toledo, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Caution)
ThuRISK
79°/66°
Dew margin
1.1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
12%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 70°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
85°/70°
Dew margin
-2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
14%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -2°F of the 71°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
78°/71°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
68%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 71°F dew point (low 70°F, 87% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
84°/72°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
45%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 72°F dew point (low 62°F, 99% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonCAUTION
78°/62°
Dew margin
7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
9am–5pm

High humidity (87%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

TueRISK
80°/63°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
4%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.8°F of the 60°F dew point (low 62°F, 33% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedRISK
88°/64°
Dew margin
1.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
35%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.2°F of the 74°F dew point (low 73°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.1°F of the 70°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 100% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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