paint·day

Is it good to paint in Toledo, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Toledo, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Sun (Good to go)
WedCAUTION
73°/56°
Dew margin
2.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
29%
Window
11am–1pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

ThuRISK
77°/63°
Dew margin
-0.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
71%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -0.8°F of the 64°F dew point (low 54°F, 100% cloud, 13 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriCAUTION
68°/54°
Dew margin
6.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
59%
Window
3pm–5pm

High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

SatRISK
64°/52°
Dew margin
2.2°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.2°F of the 42°F dew point (low 44°F, 0% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunGO
73°/52°
Dew margin
5.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 52–73°F, RH under 71%, surface stays 5.5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

MonCAUTION
62°/48°
Dew margin
7.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 48°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

TueCAUTION
60°/44°
Dew margin
11.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
11am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 44°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

CautionWed — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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