paint·day

Is it good to paint in Cincinnati, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Cincinnati, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
89°/61°
Dew margin
6.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
29%
Window
8am–5pm

Hot afternoon (89°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

FriRISK
70°/63°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
76%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (76% chance, ~4.8mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

SatGO
70°/55°
Dew margin
6.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 55–70°F, RH under 75%, surface stays 6.1°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
73°/53°
Dew margin
-1°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
4%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within -1°F of the 51°F dew point (low 48°F, 96% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonGO
65°/50°
Dew margin
5.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 50–65°F, RH under 85%, surface stays 5.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueCAUTION
66°/41°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
0%
Window
11am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

WedRISK
75°/44°
Dew margin
0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
2%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 53°F dew point (low 54°F, 4% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Hot afternoon (89°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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