paint·day

Is it good to paint in Cleveland, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Cleveland, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
ThuRISK
85°/68°
Dew margin
0.9°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
90%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 63°F dew point (low 59°F, 100% cloud, 19 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
63°/59°
Dew margin
8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
93%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (93% chance, ~5mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

SatGO
65°/52°
Dew margin
9.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 52–65°F, RH under 74%, surface stays 9.9°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunCAUTION
65°/54°
Dew margin
4.9°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.9°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonGO
59°/57°
Dew margin
13.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 57–59°F, RH under 63%, surface stays 13.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueCAUTION
59°/49°
Dew margin
12.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 49°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

WedCAUTION
68°/47°
Dew margin
18.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
2%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 47°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.9°F of the 63°F dew point (low 59°F, 100% cloud, 19 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (90% chance, ~4.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.
  • Hot afternoon (85°F, ceiling 85°F) — paint early and follow the shade.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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