paint·day

Is it good to paint in Cleveland, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Cleveland, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
ThuCAUTION
78°/69°
Dew margin
2.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
5%
Window
4pm–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

FriCAUTION
81°/69°
Dew margin
3.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
5%
Window
10am–6pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

SatRISK
80°/69°
Dew margin
0.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
66%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.5°F of the 70°F dew point (low 70°F, 100% cloud, 11 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SunRISK
78°/73°
Dew margin
2.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
66%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (66% chance, ~1.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured paint.

MonGO
74°/70°
Dew margin
7.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
23%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 70–74°F, RH under 77%, surface stays 7.8°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueGO
75°/70°
Dew margin
6.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 70–75°F, RH under 76%, surface stays 6.7°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedRISK
84°/66°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
39%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 72°F dew point (low 73°F, 65% cloud, 8 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

CautionThu — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (93%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5085°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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