paint·day

Is it good to paint in Dayton, OH this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for exterior paint in Dayton, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
TueRISK
79°/49°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
0%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 51°F dew point (low 51°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

WedCAUTION
83°/54°
Dew margin
13.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
10am–5pm

High humidity (91%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

ThuRISK
88°/62°
Dew margin
0°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
61%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0°F of the 66°F dew point (low 66°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
69°/59°
Dew margin
2.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
87%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 2.7°F of the 46°F dew point (low 49°F, 0% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatGO
69°/50°
Dew margin
8.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
13%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 50–69°F, RH under 83%, surface stays 8.8°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunGO
72°/53°
Dew margin
5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
13%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to paint: temps 53–72°F, RH under 60%, surface stays 5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

MonCAUTION
60°/46°
Dew margin
14.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 46°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold offTue — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 51°F dew point (low 51°F, 100% cloud, 5 mph wind). A fresh paint can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 97% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Cold mornings (down to 49°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you paint.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Overnight dew condensing on a fresh coat causes blistering, surfactant leaching and peeling — the cause of 40%+ of exterior paint failures.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–85°F band (low-temp lines to 35°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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