paint·day

Is it good to stain in Tempe, AZ this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Tempe, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold off
ThuRISK
98°/81°
Dew margin
8.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
10%
Window

Too hot — high of 98°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

FriRISK
103°/83°
Dew margin
26°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window

Too hot — high of 103°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SatRISK
105°/87°
Dew margin
31.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window

Too hot — high of 105°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

SunRISK
107°/95°
Dew margin
23.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window

Too hot — high of 107°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

MonRISK
106°/94°
Dew margin
29.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window

Too hot — high of 106°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

TueRISK
107°/96°
Dew margin
22.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window

Too hot — high of 107°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

WedRISK
106°/93°
Dew margin
34.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
10%
Window

Too hot — high of 106°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • Too hot — high of 98°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Tempe

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Arizona