paint·day

Is it good to stain in New York, NY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in New York, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Fri (Good to go)
WedRISK
87°/71°
Dew margin
3.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
51%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (51% chance, ~2.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

ThuRISK
83°/73°
Dew margin
4°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
9%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 4°F of the 63°F dew point (low 66°F, 3% cloud, 3 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriGO
86°/71°
Dew margin
11.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
6%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 71–86°F, RH under 83%, surface stays 11.6°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SatGO
83°/68°
Dew margin
9.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
6%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 68–83°F, RH under 56%, surface stays 9.1°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
78°/71°
Dew margin
1.5°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
48%
Window

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.5°F of the 73°F dew point (low 73°F, 100% cloud, 12 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

MonRISK
87°/74°
Dew margin
6.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
42%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (42% chance, ~8.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

TueGO
87°/73°
Dew margin
9.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
7%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 73–87°F, RH under 67%, surface stays 9.2°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offWed — today & tonight
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (51% chance, ~2.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 3.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in New York

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in New York