paint·day

Is it good to stain in New York, NY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in New York, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Sat (Good to go)
WedRISK
74°/61°
Dew margin
1.8°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
5%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 62°F dew point (low 62°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

ThuRISK
74°/64°
Dew margin
0.7°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
9%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.7°F of the 67°F dew point (low 64°F, 100% cloud, 7 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
85°/65°
Dew margin
4.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
35%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (35% chance, ~6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SatGO
72°/61°
Dew margin
5.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
9%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 61–72°F, RH under 61%, surface stays 5.1°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

SunRISK
67°/60°
Dew margin
2.3°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
24%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (24% chance, ~9.4mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

MonGO
71°/60°
Dew margin
14.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
22%
Window
9am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 60–71°F, RH under 83%, surface stays 14.5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueCAUTION
60°/46°
Dew margin
22.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
11am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 46°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

Hold offWed — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 1.8°F of the 62°F dew point (low 62°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • High humidity (89%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in New York

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in New York