paint·day

Is it good to stain in Syracuse, NY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Syracuse, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
FriRISK
65°/61°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
90%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 46°F dew point (low 45°F, 7% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatCAUTION
60°/47°
Dew margin
5.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
9am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 47°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

SunCAUTION
69°/50°
Dew margin
2.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
3%
Window
8am–4pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 2.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonGO
58°/54°
Dew margin
14°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
5%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 54–58°F, RH under 66%, surface stays 14°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueCAUTION
54°/40°
Dew margin
13.2°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
11am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 40°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

WedCAUTION
66°/42°
Dew margin
13.3°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
3%
Window
10am–5pm

Cold mornings (down to 42°F, floor is 50°F) — wait for the surface to warm past midday before you stain.

ThuRISK
72°/52°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
13%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 52°F dew point (low 52°F, 85% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

Hold offFri — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 46°F dew point (low 45°F, 7% cloud, 4 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 96% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (90% chance, ~13.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Syracuse

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in New York