paint·day

Is it good to stain in Rochester, NY this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Rochester, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Sun (Caution)
SunCAUTION
81°/66°
Dew margin
4.7°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
1%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

MonCAUTION
86°/68°
Dew margin
7.8°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
44%
Window
8am–5pm

Some rain risk (44%) during the cure window — re-check the radar before you start.

TueRISK
90°/73°
Dew margin
4.2°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
47%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (47% chance, ~2.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

WedCAUTION
95°/81°
Dew margin
4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
6%
Window
8am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

ThuRISK
96°/82°
Dew margin
5.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
10%
Window

Too hot — high of 96°F is well over the 90°F ceiling; the film skins over before it can level or adhere.

FriRISK
94°/83°
Dew margin
3.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
26%
Window

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (26% chance, ~2.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SatCAUTION
92°/80°
Dew margin
5.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
37%
Window
9am–5pm

Hot afternoon (92°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.

CautionSun — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.7°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • High humidity (93%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 5090°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Rochester

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in New York