paint·day

Is it good to stain in Arlington, TX this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Arlington, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayHold offBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
ThuRISK
75°/67°
Dew margin
0.3°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
100%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 71°F dew point (low 71°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

FriRISK
76°/71°
Dew margin
0.6°F
Overnight dew
High
Rain
50%
Window
—

High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.6°F of the 68°F dew point (low 69°F, 100% cloud, 6 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.

SatRISK
73°/70°
Dew margin
2.8°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
65%
Window
—

Humidity peaks at 98% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.

SunRISK
76°/71°
Dew margin
5.6°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
28%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (28% chance, ~1.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

MonGO
86°/72°
Dew margin
8.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
1%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 72–86°F, RH under 71%, surface stays 8.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueGO
87°/73°
Dew margin
7.1°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 73–87°F, RH under 52%, surface stays 7.1°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

WedGO
89°/75°
Dew margin
10.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
0%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 75–89°F, RH under 56%, surface stays 10.4°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

Hold offThu — today & tonight
  • High condensation risk overnight — surface dips to within 0.3°F of the 71°F dew point (low 71°F, 100% cloud, 2 mph wind). A fresh stain can blush/blister. Stop 4h before dew falls.
  • Humidity peaks at 100% — well above the 85% ceiling; cure stalls and moisture gets trapped.
  • Rain likely in the 24h cure window (100% chance, ~153.4mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

Hold off. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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