paint·day

Is it good to stain in Houston, TX this week?

A live 7-day go/no-go calendar for deck & fence stain in Houston, built from the local forecast against the 5°F-above-dew-point rule. We lead with the signal a weather app misses: overnight condensation risk.

TodayCautionBest upcoming window: Mon (Good to go)
WedCAUTION
91°/78°
Dew margin
4.1°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
22%
Window
9am–5pm

Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.

ThuRISK
87°/77°
Dew margin
3.5°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
64%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (64% chance, ~11.2mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

FriRISK
90°/78°
Dew margin
5.9°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
67%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (67% chance, ~2.1mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SatRISK
87°/77°
Dew margin
2.4°F
Overnight dew
Watch
Rain
78%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (78% chance, ~8.6mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

SunRISK
82°/75°
Dew margin
6.4°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
63%
Window
—

Rain likely in the 24h cure window (63% chance, ~1.7mm) — it can wash out or mar an uncured stain.

MonGO
86°/75°
Dew margin
23.7°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
23%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 75–86°F, RH under 71%, surface stays 23.7°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

TueGO
84°/68°
Dew margin
21.5°F
Overnight dew
Low
Rain
17%
Window
8am–5pm

Clear to stain: temps 68–84°F, RH under 39%, surface stays 21.5°F+ above the dew point, no rain in the cure window.

CautionWed — today & tonight
  • Watch overnight dew — surface comes within 4.1°F of the dew point (margin is 5°F). Time the coat to dry well before evening.
  • Hot afternoon (91°F, ceiling 90°F) — stain early and follow the shade.
  • High humidity (89%, over the 85% mark) slows drying — keep an eye on the cure window.

Caution. These are forecast numbers — confirm the surface temperature on-site before you start.

Why these thresholds

Stain applied to a damp or dew-wet board can't penetrate — it beads, stays tacky and flakes. Wood must be dry and stay above the dew point while it sets.

  • • Surface temp must stay 5°F above the dew point through application and cure (ASTM D3276 / ISO 8502-42).
  • • Air + surface in the 50–90°F band (low-temp lines to 45°F).
  • • Humidity under 85%; ideally under 70%.
  • • No rain for 24h after application.
  • • We use the forecast ground-surface temperature as a surface-temp proxy — confirm on-site with an IR thermometer.

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Other coatings in Houston

Deck & Fence Stain weather elsewhere in Texas